Category: Commodities

Commodities

Tuesday links: assiduous avoidance

Market Expert Jan 14, 2026

MarketsThere is a new high in the number of global stock markets hitting new highs. (entrylevel.topdowncharts.com)Small caps are having a moment. (allstarcharts.com)So are microcaps. (capitalspectator.com)StrategyThere are no members of the forecasting hall of fame. (betterletter.substack.com)Market leadership can change without the market breaking. (excessreturnspod.substack.com)There is one upside to illiquid investments. They prevent you from making rash decisions. (behaviouralinvestment.com)EconomyDecember CPI was in line, but grocery prices are still an issue. (axios.com)Eleven things weighing on consumer confidence. (larryswedroe.substack.com)Net migration was likely negative in 2025. (washingtonpost.com)Bill McBride of Calculated Risk is pulling back on economic coverage. (calculatedriskblog.com)Earlier on Abnormal ReturnsResearch links: earnings uncertainty. (abnormalreturns.com)What you missed in our Monday linkfest. (abnormalreturns.com)Adviser links: thinking about success.

Commodities

Sunday links: accumulating meaning

Market Expert Jan 12, 2026

StrategyInvesting in stocks? Expect pullbacks. (awealthofcommonsense.com)There's nothing magical about gold. (humbledollar.com)When it makes sense to pay up for a company. (flyoverstocks.com)The markets will be there tomorrow. (allstarcharts.com)IndexesFactor ETF portfolios can look weird. (wsj.com)The S&P 500 is not a static index. (tker.co)Bond index construction makes a difference. (ft.com)Why the composition of the Russell 2000 matters. (trendlabs.com)CompaniesBoeing ($BA) had its highest number of annual deliveries since 2018. (cnbc.com)When Microsoft ($MSFT) almost took over OpenAI. (spyglass.org)What percentage of Taiwan Semi ($TSM) revenue comes from Apple ($AAPL)? (newsletter.semianalysis.com)Netflix ($NFLX) is in the lead to take over Warner Bros. ($WBD) studio business. (sherwood.news)America's biggest companies have folded like a cheap suit in the face of pressure. (daringfireball.net)ICEHamilton Nolan, "Give guns and special powers to thousands and thousands of men everywh

Commodities

Friday links: refueling more often

Market Expert Jan 11, 2026

StrategyTen lessons learned from the markets in 2025 including 'Even with a clear crystal ball, markets are unpredictable.' (larryswedroe.substack.com)Three ways to simplify your portfolio. (morningstar.com)Why you should build portfolios for the long run. (theretirementmanifesto.com)Degenerate economyThe degenerate economy is growing and StockTwits is benefiting. (howardlindzon.com)We are living in the age of 'surreal financial assets.' (timharford.com)When you put a casino in everyone's pocket, people are going to play. (dopaminemarkets.com)A lot of prediction markets require arguments around actual outcomes. (riskgaming.com)Regulators have been turned from 'watchdogs into cheerleaders.' (citationneeded.news)Sports businessAre pro sport franchise values going to keep going up in 2026? (frontofficesports.com)KKR ($KKR) agreed to acquire Arctos Partners. (pe-insights.com)The NFL is hitting on all cylinders. (frontofficesports.com)ProteinThe new food pyramid emphasizes meat and full-fat

Commodities

Thursday links: cognitive surpluses

Market Expert Jan 9, 2026

MarketsIt's not unusual that the stock market experiences a double digit loss and then ends the year with a double digit gain. (awealthofcommonsense.com)A look at all the all-time highs that are happening. (allstarcharts.com)Stock market participation is broadening out. (chartkidmatt.com)Mid-cap stocks are breaking out. (trendlabs.com)GoogleGoogle's ($GOOGL) market cap recently topped Apple's ($AAPL). (cnbc.com)Can Google ($GOOGL) really create an AI-powered e-mail inbox? (spyglass.org)Google's new Waymo van should be less expensive to build. (sherwood.news)FinanceWells Fargo ($WFC) trails its rivals when it comes to investment banking revenue. (ft.com)JP Morgan Chase ($JPM) is taking over the Apple credit card business. (cnbc.com)Private equity always wins. The IRS has largely abandoned audits of private partnerships. (nytimes.com)ETFs2026 could see the first trillion-dollar AUM ETF. (etf.com)The Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF ($GOLS) has launched. (sportico.com)Journali

Commodities

Tuesday links: impeding your returns

Market Expert Jan 8, 2026

StrategyEight market lessons from 2025 including 'Cryptocurrency is still a speculative asset.' (morningstar.com)Three timeless lessons re-learned in 2025 including 'Politics and investing don't mix.' (carsongroup.com)A single good forecast doesn't do you a lot of good. (behaviouralinvestment.com)CryptoMorgan Stanley ($MS) is jumping into the market for crypto ETFs. (cointelegraph.com)MSCI ($MSCI) is not going to exclude digital asset treasury companies from their indices. (coindesk.com)CompaniesCan Berkshire Hathaway’s ($BRK.A) unique culture survive its creators? (kingswell.io)Corporate spending on executive security is on the rise. (wsj.com)MediaHow are Hunterbook Media and Hunterbrook Capital doing, performance-wise? (wsj.com)The Corporation for Public Broadcasting has shut down. (variety.com)The state of newsletter, 2025 edition. (beehiiv.com)Who do journalists work for? (hamiltonnolan.com)FoodJollibee will spin off its international business and list it on a US stock exchange. (f

Commodities

Wednesday links: housing affordability

Market Expert Jan 8, 2026

CryptoWhy MSCI ($MSCI) chickened out on DATs. (giftarticle.ft.com)Some DATs are being forced to sell their digital assets. (theblock.co)There's not a ton of demand for dogecoin ETFs. (sherwood.news)Trading crypto doesn't make you immune from paying taxes. (theblock.co)Prediction marketsPolymarket is now providing data to Dow Jones. (theblock.co)Polymarket isn't paying off bets on a U.S. 'invasion' of Venezuela. (forbes.com)Absent regulation or legislation, insider trading will continue on prediction markets. (theatlantic.com)Kalshi is backing a new bill to bar insider trading on prediction markets. (businessinsider.com)FinanceJane Street is investing outside of its core business. (rupakghose.substack.com)2025 was down year for VC fundraising. (wsj.com)Discord has filed for an IPO. (bloomberg.com)AIJP Morgan Chase ($JPM) is dropping proxy advisors for an internal AI option. (wsj.com)AI killed Stack Overflow. (sherwood.news)MediaLinkedIn is having a moment. (wsj.com)How Reels became a b

Commodities

Monday links: continual creation

Market Expert Jan 6, 2026

MarketsA look at emerging market stock performance in 2025. (novelinvestor.com)China tech stocks are having a moment. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com)How to assess Japanese bank stocks. (mailchi.mp)A look at devloped market stock performance in 2025. (novelinvestor.com)StrategyInvesting lessons don't change on January 1st. (awealthofcommonsense.com)Portfolio liquidity is double-edge sword. (giftarticle.ft.com)VersantComcast spinoff Versant ($VSNT) is now trading. (cnbc.com)What is Versant, besides CNBC? (frontofficesports.com)GlobalAmerica's chip export controls are working. (noahpinion.blog)Europe has an organic growth problem. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com)What is happening with the Russian economy? (econbrowser.com)VenezuelaAll of the unknowns with American policy in Venezuela. (danieldrezner.substack.com)Regime change rarely goes how you think it will. (flyovertakes.substack.com)What do Venezuelans think? (theargumentmag.com)Increasing Venezuelan oil production is no small thing. (newyorke

Commodities

Sunday links: unvarnished facts

Market Expert Jan 5, 2026

MarketsSix market surprises from 2025 including international market outperformance. (awealthofcommonsense.com)These stocks drove 2025 market returns, think Nvidia ($NVDA). (morningstar.com)Materials and energy sectors have been laggards. (trendlabs.com)FinanceCaveat emptor. On prediction markets you could very well be trading against someone with inside information. (axios.com)What is Greg Abel going do with all that cash? (wsj.com)The pressThe new Pentagon press corps is not built for this moment. (apnews.com)A reporter reaching out via phone, e-mail or in person is not, by definition, harassment. (propublica.org)Fox News viewers are unique in their support of Trump. (gelliottmorris.com)VenezuelaJuan David Rojas, "Venezuela has more than 10 times the area and six times the population as Panama." (unherd.com)Welcome to the Monroe Doctrine 2.0. (theconversation.com)We are setting a very dangerous precedent. (hamiltonnolan.com)Evidence from the Caribbean boat strikes is washing up on sh

Commodities

Friday links: investment self-confidence

Market Expert Jan 3, 2026

December 2025The S&P 500 returned 0.06% in December. (on.spdji.com)How major asset classes performed in December. (capitalspectator.com)MarketsSilver had a huge 2025. (barrons.com)The U.S. dollar had its worst year since 2017. (nypost.com)Indian equities underperformed in 2025. (bloomberg.com)Strategy2025 should have been a big year for active managers. (larryswedroe.substack.com)Trends don't end just because the calendar turned the page. (trendlabs.com)Financial markets don't care what your theory says. (klementoninvesting.substack.com)What can you learn from your past year's portfolio returns? (fortunesandfrictions.com)Retail tradingRetail traders are having a growing impact on markets. (wsj.com)Traders who followed 'Captain Condor' are feeling the pain. (morningstar.com)Berkshire HathawayNobody can accuse Warren Buffett of losing his way. (wsj.com)Warren Buffett on why he is confident in Greg Abel. (cnbc.com)On the challenges facing Greg Abel is facing including 'maintaining Berkshi