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Oil surge sparks Treasury market’s worst weekly rout since ‘liberation day’ chaos

Oil prices are surging. Will that help Tesla and others sell more EVs?

Stock

That viral Big Arch burger video could be worth at least $18 million to McDonald’s in free publicity

Market Expert Mar 7, 2026

Rivals like Burger King and Wendy’s have also been biting off that McDonald’s CEO video — and industry experts say it’s good for business for everybody.

Stock

Defense-tech stocks are the hot trade as Iran conflict widens

Market Expert Mar 7, 2026

In a week when conflict in Iran sent the U.S. equity market into a tailspin, technology stocks tied to cybersecurity and artificial intelligence have proved more resilient than sectors investors have typically treated as safe havens.

Stock

Defense companies agree to ramp up output after meeting with Trump

Market Expert Mar 7, 2026

The meeting came shortly after a Trump social-media post appearing to rule out talks with Iran as the conflict drags down stocks and as oil prices shoot up.

Stock

‘I have a legal and a moral question’: My dad left when I was 9, reconnected with me in my 50s and now needs money. What do I owe him?

Market Expert Mar 7, 2026

“After the divorce was finalized, he and his partner moved out of state to a place where there would be no child-support enforcement.”

Stock

Crude-oil futures haven’t been this overbought since 1990. That doesn’t mean the rally is over.

Market Expert Mar 7, 2026

A momentum indicator for a crude futures chart has soared to its highest level in 36 years, but as the Wall Street saying goes, overbought doesn’t mean over.

Stock

U.S. oil prices notch record weekly gain of nearly 36%, as Middle East conflict spurs worries over production cuts

Market Expert Mar 7, 2026

Oil prices rallied Friday to set a record weekly gain, with the Middle East starting to feel a squeeze in production and storage capacity as the Iran conflict ran through a seventh day.

Commodities

Thursday links: automated or eliminated

Market Expert Mar 7, 2026

Prediction marketsNilay Patel talks with Liz Lopatto about why the media has pivoted to prediction markets. (theverge.com)Underdog is pivoting to prediction markets. (frontofficesports.com)GeopoliticsLong term, Japan is a big part of any American led-bloc. (noahpinion.blog)Abundance as a foreign policy framework. (riskgaming.com)Renewable energy is a strategic necessity. (semafor.com)DronesIran's Shaheed drones are their more effective weapon. (cnbc.com)Ukraine has the best technology to down Shaheeds. (ft.com)America's missiles aren't made to knock down cheap drones. (theatlantic.com)IranThe U.S. and Israel want the Kurds to be an offensive force. (axios.com)Iran's Kurds are not a unified force. (unherd.com)GLP-1sHow Eli Lilly ($LLY) is trying get GLP-1s in the hands of more patients. (cnbc.com)GLP-1s seem to help with addiction issues. (theconversation.com)GLP-1 use may help after a heart attack. (sciencedaily.com)WorkSecretary was the most common job. Automation changed all that. (r

Commodities

Friday links: suspect motives

Market Expert Mar 7, 2026

BondsThe Treasury flight-to-safety trade isn't working. (panoptica.ai)Sovereign bond markets are not panicking. (ft.com)StrategyUncertainty is inherent in investing. Prepare accordingly. (awealthofcommonsense.com)Before you invest in a novel investment ask - why? (morningstar.com)Prediction marketsPrediction markets are the hot new thing on college campuses. (wsj.com)How prediction markets make us more uncertain about the world. (theatlantic.com)Prediction market participants love college basketball. (frontofficesports.com)Private assetsOn the paradoxical performance of the ERShares Public-Private Crossover ($XOVR). (wsj.com)Robinhood Ventures Fund I ($RVI) is now trading. (barrons.com)Another day, another private credit fund is hit with substantial withdrawal requests. (ft.com)Beware claims about private credit fund returns. (thealtview.substack.com)IranThe war is costing nearly $1 billion a day. (phys.org)Russia is providing Iran with targeting information. (wapo.st)How a closing

Analysis

MiB: Bill Gurley, Benchmark

Market Expert Mar 6, 2026

In a special bonus episode, I speak with Bill Gurley of Benchmark about his big bets investing early in now-common names like Uber, Zillow, Grubhub, OpenTable and others, plus his new book, “Runnin’ Down a Dream: How to Thrive in a Career You Actually Love“. He explains that the early days of venture… Read More The post MiB: Bill Gurley, Benchmark appeared first on The Big Picture.