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Trump’s tariffs get knocked out — but the hit to small business is just beginning
Stock

Trump’s tariffs get knocked out — but the hit to small business is just beginning

Market Expert  Feb 21, 2026

A Supreme Court tariff reckoning won’t rescue Main Street from the damage it’s suffered.

How you can take advantage of two stock-market trends
Stock

How you can take advantage of two stock-market trends

Market Expert  Feb 21, 2026

Also in Weekend Reads: Reactions to the Supreme Court ruling against Trump’s tariffs, AI and your taxes, and a deeper look into business-development companies.

Don’t expect lower prices now that the Supreme Court has ruled against Trump’s tariffs
Stock

Don’t expect lower prices now that the Supreme Court has ruled against Trump’s tariffs

Market Expert  Feb 21, 2026

The Supreme Court’s decision to strike down many of President Donald Trump’s tariffs is a massive blow to the president’s agenda. But for cost-conscious consumers, the immediate impact could be further economic uncertainty, with few price cuts in store.

This once-hot cancer-detection company’s stock got cut in half after a failed trial
Stock

This once-hot cancer-detection company’s stock got cut in half after a failed trial

Market Expert  Feb 21, 2026

Grail’s stock was the Nasdaq’s biggest loser Friday, after a key trial of its Galleri early-detection cancer test failed to meet its primary endpoint.

Will American companies get tariff refunds after the Supreme Court decision? What we know so far.
Stock

Will American companies get tariff refunds after the Supreme Court decision? What we know so far.

Market Expert  Feb 21, 2026

The Supreme Court’s decision striking down most of President Donald Trump’s tariffs left at least one big question unanswered: What about refunds?

Podcast links: lifelong learning
Commodities

Podcast links: lifelong learning

Market Expert  Feb 21, 2026

Fridays are all about podcast links here at Abnormal Returns. You can also check out last week’s links including a look at...

Friday links: unexamined beliefs
Commodities

Friday links: unexamined beliefs

Market Expert  Feb 21, 2026

RegulationThe SEC has dramatically cut back on enforcement actions. (ft.com)Lax enforcement is allowing some ETFs to exceed position limits for private shares. (ft.com)Prediction marketsWhat's the argument for a prediction markets ETF? (joesaluzzi.substack.com)Is journalism infused with prediction markets better? (niemanlab.org)Private assetsSigns of deterioration in private credit quality. (morningstar.com)Private asset managers are being forced to comment on their stock prices. (ft.com)How 'NAV squeezing' works. (ft.com)TariffsThe Supreme Courts struck down Trump's 'emergency' tariffs. (npr.org)The court's ruling leaves a lot of open questions. (washingtonpost.com)How imports are affected. (nytimes.com)But there are some obvious winners. (frontofficesports.com)IranOn the strategic incoherence of Trump's Iran policy. (danieldrezner.substack.com)Iran's opposition is splintered. (theatlantic.com)MisconductOther countries take official misconduct seriously. (axios.com)Forget pardons, no

Winners & Losers of SCOTUS Decision Striking Down Tariffs
Analysis

Winners & Losers of SCOTUS Decision Striking Down Tariffs

Market Expert  Feb 21, 2026

    SCOTUS:  Article I, Section 8, of the Constitution specifies that “The Congress shall have Power To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises.” The Framers recognized the unique importance of this taxing power—a power which “very clear[ly]” includes the power to impose tariffs. Gibbons v. Ogden, 9 Wheat. 1, 201. And they… Read More The post Winners & Losers of SCOTUS Decision Striking Down Tariffs appeared first on The Big Picture.

Why your portfolio may face one last rate-hike surprise before May
Stock

Why your portfolio may face one last rate-hike surprise before May

Market Expert  Feb 20, 2026

Interest rates typically go up when a Fed chair steps down.

4 reasons cybersecurity stocks are primed for a breakout
Stock

4 reasons cybersecurity stocks are primed for a breakout

Market Expert  Feb 20, 2026

Shares of most of the cybersecurity companies Jefferies covers are trading at the lowest valuations seen over the past five years.

Nvidia options are priced for a perfect earnings outlook. These are your smarter trades.
Stock

Nvidia options are priced for a perfect earnings outlook. These are your smarter trades.

Market Expert  Feb 20, 2026

Earnings reports will flood the market next week. Could this be the juice the S&P 500 needs?

This is the sobering way most Americans plan to use their tax refunds this year
Stock

This is the sobering way most Americans plan to use their tax refunds this year

Market Expert  Feb 20, 2026

Tax refunds are projected to be larger this year, on average — and Americans are thinking hard about how to spend them.

Say goodbye to the 4 p.m. closing bell: Your stocks are becoming 24/7 digital cash
Stock

Say goodbye to the 4 p.m. closing bell: Your stocks are becoming 24/7 digital cash

Market Expert  Feb 20, 2026

Tokenized equities — real shares of stock wrapped or reissued as blockchain tokens — threaten traditional brokerages.

Trump’s tariffs may be struck down — but the hit to small business is just beginning
Stock

Trump’s tariffs may be struck down — but the hit to small business is just beginning

Market Expert  Feb 20, 2026

A Supreme Court tariff reckoning won’t rescue Main Street from the damage it’s suffered.

Wayfair’s stock sinks, as investors worry expansion plans will hurt profits
Stock

Wayfair’s stock sinks, as investors worry expansion plans will hurt profits

Market Expert  Feb 20, 2026

Wayfair’s stock suffered its worst postearnings reaction in nearly four years, after the company unexpectedly swung to a net loss for the latest quarter and warned that profit margins may narrow.

United Airlines’ best loyalty perks will soon be reserved for its cardholders. Is the card worth it?
Stock

United Airlines’ best loyalty perks will soon be reserved for its cardholders. Is the card worth it?

Market Expert  Feb 20, 2026

Frequent flyers who hold a United Airlines co-branded credit or debit card can soon earn up to twice as many miles as noncardholders, effectively rewarding the airline’s biggest spenders.

‘Many politicians work well into their 80s’: I’m 71 and earn $300K for a Fortune 200 company. Do I work until I’m 75?
Stock

‘Many politicians work well into their 80s’: I’m 71 and earn $300K for a Fortune 200 company. Do I work until I’m 75?

Market Expert  Feb 20, 2026

“My company is eager to retain me because of the 45 years of knowledge and experience I bring.”

People still want to see BTS and Harry Styles concerts, lifting Live Nation’s sales
Stock

People still want to see BTS and Harry Styles concerts, lifting Live Nation’s sales

Market Expert  Feb 20, 2026

Ticketmaster parent Live Nation Entertainment on Thursday reported fourth-quarter sales that topped Wall Street’s expectations, helped by bigger shows, international expansion and more upsells at concerts.

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