Thursday links: automated or eliminated

Prediction marketsNilay Patel talks with Liz Lopatto about why the media has pivoted to prediction markets. (theverge.com)Underdog is pivoting to prediction markets. (frontofficesports.com)GeopoliticsLong term, Japan is a big part of any American led-bloc. (noahpinion.blog)Abundance as a foreign policy framework. (riskgaming.com)Renewable energy is a strategic necessity. (semafor.com)DronesIran's Shaheed drones are their more effective weapon. (cnbc.com)Ukraine has the best technology to down Shaheeds. (ft.com)America's missiles aren't made to knock down cheap drones. (theatlantic.com)IranThe U.S. and Israel want the Kurds to be an offensive force. (axios.com)Iran's Kurds are not a unified force. (unherd.com)GLP-1sHow Eli Lilly ($LLY) is trying get GLP-1s in the hands of more patients. (cnbc.com)GLP-1s seem to help with addiction issues. (theconversation.com)GLP-1 use may help after a heart attack. (sciencedaily.com)WorkSecretary was the most common job. Automation changed all that. (r